Memphis @ South Florida
South Florida +4.0 (-110)
Score
41.1
Confidence
Low
System
WTF
Numerical Evidence
Model vs. Market
Figures are drawn from the recommendation's saved model and market inputs. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
Projected Selected-Team Margin
-2.77 pts
Recommended Spread
+4.00
Projected ATS Cushion
+1.23 pts
Engine-Selected Edge
0.0351
ATS cushion compares the projected selected-team margin with its recommended spread. A positive cushion indicates the model projects the selection beyond the spread. The engine edge is a separate analytical measurement, not a guaranteed return.
Analysis
Why This Play
WTF identifies South Florida +4.0 (-110) as a low-strength spread opportunity. The model projects the selected team to finish with a margin of -2.77 points, compared with a recommended spread of +4.00. This produces a projected ATS cushion of +1.23 points.
Supporting Data
Key Evidence
Risk
Risk Note
Memphis vs. South Florida carries spread risk if the projected margin does not materialize. The projected cushion and engine edge are analytical estimates, not guarantees.
Next Step
Action Guidance
Consider South Florida +4.0 (-110) near the recommended spread and price. Reassess if the available spread or odds move materially.
Understanding WTF
Understanding Your Recommendation
Our score, confidence level, and daily priority describe different aspects of a recommendation. None of these measurements guarantees a winning outcome.
Score
Analytical Strength
A standardized 0–100 rating reflecting how strongly the recommendation qualifies under the model's edge and expected-value criteria.
A score of 85 does not mean an 85% chance of winning.
Confidence
Qualification Tier
High, Moderate, or Low describes the recommendation's qualifying tier under our analytical standards.
Confidence is not a guaranteed outcome or a separately calculated win probability.
Priority
Daily Ranking
Ranks the selected recommendations from 1 to 5 across sports, systems, and betting markets.
Priority #1 is the highest-ranked opportunity, not necessarily the most likely outcome.